1) Don’t Make sucker bets

Insurance, even money, side bets, and the 6:5 game are too risky for the returns they offer with some exceptions.

Never take insurance

Insurance gives the house an 8% advantage. Don’t take it … even when you have a big bet on the table.

Never take even money in a 3:2 game

Even money gives the house a 4% advantage when the blackjack premium is $3 for every $2 bet.

always take even money in a 6:5 game

Even money gives the player a 20% advantage when the blackjack premium is $6 for every $5 bet.

Never pLay side-bet games

Side bets typically give the house a 4% to 12% advantage despite their large lottery-like payoffs.

Play the 6:5 Game if your basic strategy is error free

The 6:5 game gives the house an additional advantage of 1.39%. However, the overall impact is small compared to luck if you can play perfect basic strategy.

  • Insurance protects the player against a dealer’s blackjack. It’s offered whenever the dealer’s up card is an ace.

    • The player can put as much as 1/2 of his original bet on the table’s insurance line.

    • If the dealer has blackjack, the player loses his original bet but wins $2 for every $1 of insurance, thereby breaking even.

    • If the dealer does not have blackjack, the player loses his insurance and play continues normally.

    This sounds like a good deal, but insurance gives the house an 8% advantage over the player since the odds of the dealer having blackjack are 31% — based on there being 16 ten-point cards in a deck of 52 cards — and the payoff is only two to one.

    (The casino’s 8% edge is calculated using expected value which adjusts the potential win-loss amounts by their associated risk. More on this later.)

  • Even money gives the player a chance to receive a one-for-one payoff for his blackjack rather than nothing if he ties with the dealer. It’s offered when the player has blackjack and the dealer up-card is an ace.

    • If the player accepts the offer, he immediately receives a 1-for-1 payoff rather the normal 3-for-2 blackjack payoff.

    • If he refuses, play continues, potentially resulting in a a tie if the dealer has blackjack or in the player receiving the 3:2 payoff if he does not.

    This sounds reasonable, however, taking even money in a 3:2 game gives the house a 4% edge over the player since the probability of the dealer having blackjack is 31% (15 out of 48 cards) with a 1.5-to-one payoff and the probability of the dealer not having blackjack is 69% with a one-for-one payoff.

    (The casino’s 4% edge is calculated using expected value which adjusts the potential win-loss amounts by their associated risk. More on this later.)

    The folklore with even money is that the player should always take it to avoid a push; after all, it would be a shame if the player received nothing for his blackjack, right?

    • Wrong, this decision should be made on a risk-return basis not on how the player will feel if he loses.

    • This misplaced righteousness even spawns moral indignation from players who think that greed is motivating the player’s refusal.

  • Surprisingly, taking even money in a 6:5 game gives the player a 20% advantage over the dealer.

    This is because the probability of the dealer having blackjack is 31% (15 out of 48 cards) but with only a 1.2-to-one payoff, and the probability of the dealer not having blackjack is 69% with a one-for-one payoff.

    (The players 20% advantage is again calculated using expected value which adjusts the potential win-loss amounts by their associated risk. More on this later.)

  • Side bets are long shots with bad odds …like a lottery.

    • There are many different side bets offered at blackjack tables.

    • They make use of the cards dealt in the blackjack game, but they have nothing to do with the blackjack game itself.

    • For example, the player wins the side-bet game “21+3” when his first two cards and the dealer’s up card form a flush, straight, or three-of-a-kind.

    • The player wins the side-bet game “Royal Match” when he has a suited pair in his initial blackjack hand (e.g., two queens of hearts).

    Stay away from side bets.

    • The odds against the player winning a side bet are usually far too high for the return.

    • For example, the house’s advantage with “21+3” is 3.24%, with “Royal Match” it’s 3.7%, and with “Super Sevens” it’s 12%.

    • These are many times greater than the typical 0.5% house edge of the blackjack game itself.

    Side bets do have one redeeming virtue — they offer a large payoff for a small bet…like a lottery. Accordingly, if you want to play a lottery while you play blackjack, go ahead … but, don’t let side bets distract you from the blackjack game, and don’t comingle your side-bet bankroll with your blackjack bankroll if you want to walk away a winner at blackjack.

  • Blackjack players hates the lower 6:5 blackjack payoff. However, sometimes the high minimum (e.g., $25) for the 3:2 game prevents players from playing the 3:2 game. If your basic strategy is error free, go ahead and play the 6:5 game. The negative impact of the added 1.39% house edge due to the 6:5 payoff is relatively small. Don’t play if you still make basic strategy errors.

Want to know more…?

Don't make sucker bets

Learn Basic Strategy

Bring enough cash to the table

Leave the game with a profit

Don't hedge when you're losing

Don't make sucker bets Learn Basic Strategy Bring enough cash to the table Leave the game with a profit Don't hedge when you're losing